Vaapad Capital · Field Notes

Field Notes

Long-form theses, field reports, and market commentary. Documented in the open — the thinking behind the positions, not just the trades.

14 May 26113 min readSubscriber

Die Magnet-Singularität

Eine umfassende Untersuchung der Seltenen Erden als strategische Substanz des kommenden Robotik-Zeitalters — von der Geologie Tasmaniens und der Antarktis über die Quantenphysik der 4f-Elektronen bis zur ökonomischen Vermessung menschlicher Arbeit über drei Jahrhunderte. Eine These über die größte Resourcen-Manie der Weltgeschichte.

reerobotikrohstoffethesis
04 May 2616 min readSubscriber

Der unsichtbare Engpass

Warum Dysprosium und Terbium die geopolitische Waffe der Roboter-Revolution sind — und der HREE-Markt einen deutlich größeren Hype-Cycle als Lithium auslösen wird.

reehreerobotikmagneterohstoffegeopolitik
22 Dec 255 min readSubscriber

The Shanghai Squeeze

China's sole silver ETF trades at a 12% premium while domestic exchanges hit historic inventory lows — private investors are storming the exits of a system that cannot deliver the metal they are buying.

silverchinashanghaietfmarket-microstructureshort-squeezeicbc
03 Nov 2514 min readSubscriber

The Gold-Silver Ratio — From Prehistory to Clown World

Seven thousand years of monetary history, condensed into a single number — and what that number reveals about the modern market.

silvergoldgold-silver-ratiomonetary-historycommoditiesmacro
22 Oct 259 min readSubscriber

Meryllion’s 833 km² — Undervalued Among the Survivors of the HREE Squeeze

ABx's Deep Leads is Australia's premier clay-hosted HREE resource. Meryllion holds adjacent, geologically identical ground — marginally larger — at 40% of ABx's market cap. The gap is not explained by geology.

reehreemeryllionabxtasmaniaminingequity-researchundervaluation
21 Sept 2512 min readSubscriber

100-Bagger Bear Creek

Corani holds 229 million ounces of silver at a C$95M market cap. At $100/oz silver, the math points between a C$29 base and a C$179 extreme — a Lassonde-Curve inflection hiding in plain sight.

silverminingbear-creekcoraniperulassonde-curveequity-research